NBA recap: Friday, November 6
LineSpy · November 6, 2026 finals
9 games on Friday, November 6, 2026. Favorites won 8 of 9 and covered 6. Totals went over 5 times and under 4. The closing totals missed by 11.7 points on average. Our simulations picked 8 of 9 winners and missed the final total by 12.2 points on average. The biggest upset: the Cavaliers beat the 76ers, who were about 58% to win.
The lines here are the closing consensus: the median across the books once each book’s margin is removed. A favorite “covers” when it wins by more than the spread. Our simulated games come from real season shot profiles and the night’s injury report; checking them against the finals is how we keep them honest. Tonight’s games are on the board.
Celtics 119, Hornets 80
The Celtics were favored by 10.5 with about a 78% win chance; they won by 39 and covered the 10.5-point spread.
The total closed at 209.5 and the game finished with 199: under by 10.5.
Our simulated games had the Celtics by 8 with 208 points, the right winner, and a total 9 points high.
Hawks 139, Wizards 132
The Hawks were favored by 8 with about a 73% win chance; they won by 7 and didn’t cover the 8-point spread.
The total closed at 228.5 and the game finished with 271: over by 42.5.
Our simulated games had the Hawks by 7 with 228 points, the right winner, and a total 44 points low.
Cavaliers 119, 76ers 95
The 76ers were favored by 3 with about a 58% win chance; they lost by 24 and lost outright as 3-point favorites.
The total closed at 232 and the game finished with 214: under by 18.
Our simulated games had the 76ers by 2 with 230 points, the wrong winner, and a total 16 points high.
Mavericks 112, Jazz 100
The Mavericks were favored by 6.5 with about a 69% win chance; they won by 12 and covered the 6.5-point spread.
The total closed at 225.5 and the game finished with 212: under by 13.5.
Our simulated games had the Mavericks by 7 with 227 points, the right winner, and a total 15 points high.
Thunder 128, Grizzlies 97
The Thunder were favored by 4.5 with about a 61% win chance; they won by 31 and covered the 4.5-point spread.
The total closed at 223.5 and the game finished with 225: over by 1.5.
Our simulated games had the Thunder by 4 with 222 points, the right winner, and a total 3 points low.
Raptors 121, Bucks 107
The Raptors were favored by 3.5 with about a 60% win chance; they won by 14 and covered the 3.5-point spread.
The total closed at 227.5 and the game finished with 228: over by 0.5.
Our simulated games had the Raptors by 7 with 232 points, the right winner, and a total 4 points high.
Timberwolves 115, Pelicans 109
The Timberwolves were favored by 3.5 with about a 60% win chance; they won by 6 and covered the 3.5-point spread.
The total closed at 230.5 and the game finished with 224: under by 6.5.
Our simulated games had the Timberwolves by 5 with 231 points, the right winner, and a total 7 points high.
Lakers 124, Trail Blazers 118
The Lakers were favored by 3.5 with about a 58% win chance; they won by 6 and covered the 3.5-point spread.
The total closed at 231.5 and the game finished with 242: over by 10.5.
Our simulated games had the Lakers by 5 with 232 points, the right winner, and a total 10 points low.
Spurs 124, Kings 109
The Spurs were favored by 17.5 with about an 89% win chance; they won by 15 and didn’t cover the 17.5-point spread.
The total closed at 231.5 and the game finished with 233: over by 1.5.
Our simulated games had the Spurs by 16 with 231 points, the right winner, and a total 2 points low.
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