NBA recap: Saturday, November 7
LineSpy · November 7, 2026 finals
7 games on Saturday, November 7, 2026. Favorites won 6 of 7 and covered 4. Totals went over 2 times and under 5. The closing totals missed by 18.9 points on average. Our simulations picked 6 of 7 winners and missed the final total by 21.0 points on average. The biggest upset: the Suns beat the Rockets, who were about 70% to win.
The lines here are the closing consensus: the median across the books once each book’s margin is removed. A favorite “covers” when it wins by more than the spread. Our simulated games come from real season shot profiles and the night’s injury report; checking them against the finals is how we keep them honest. Tonight’s games are on the board.
Nuggets 114, Pacers 102
The Nuggets were favored by 8 with about a 73% win chance; they won by 12 and covered the 8-point spread.
The total closed at 229.5 and the game finished with 216: under by 13.5.
Our simulated games had the Nuggets by 8 with 232 points, the right winner, and a total 16 points high.
Hawks 124, Nets 121
The Hawks were favored by 6.5 with about a 70% win chance; they won by 3 and didn’t cover the 6.5-point spread.
The total closed at 226.5 and the game finished with 245: over by 18.5.
Our simulated games had the Hawks by 7 with 225 points, the right winner, and a total 20 points low.
Knicks 109, Cavaliers 97
The Knicks were favored by 4.5 with about a 64% win chance; they won by 12 and covered the 4.5-point spread.
The total closed at 223 and the game finished with 206: under by 17.
Our simulated games had the Knicks by 5 with 226 points, the right winner, and a total 20 points high.
Thunder 114, Wizards 75
The Thunder were favored by 12.5 with about an 83% win chance; they won by 39 and covered the 12.5-point spread.
The total closed at 223.5 and the game finished with 189: under by 34.5.
Our simulated games had the Thunder by 10 with 224 points, the right winner, and a total 35 points high.
Warriors 126, Magic 119
The Warriors were favored by 7.5 with about a 72% win chance; they won by 7 and didn’t cover the 7.5-point spread.
The total closed at 219.5 and the game finished with 245: over by 25.5.
Our simulated games had the Warriors by 9 with 219 points, the right winner, and a total 26 points low.
Suns 102, Rockets 99
The Rockets were favored by 6.5 with about a 70% win chance; they lost by 3 and lost outright as 6.5-point favorites.
The total closed at 223.5 and the game finished with 201: under by 22.5.
Our simulated games had the Rockets by 5 with 226 points, the wrong winner, and a total 25 points high.
Spurs 125, Trail Blazers 103
The Spurs were favored by 5.5 with about a 66% win chance; they won by 22 and covered the 5.5-point spread.
The total closed at 228.5 and the game finished with 228: under by 0.5.
Our simulated games had the Spurs by 4 with 233 points, the right winner, and a total 5 points high.
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