NBA recap: Sunday, November 8
LineSpy · November 8, 2026 finals
7 games on Sunday, November 8, 2026. Favorites won 5 of 7 and covered 3. Totals went over 3 times and under 4. The closing totals missed by 13.5 points on average. Our simulations picked 5 of 7 winners and missed the final total by 12.6 points on average. The biggest upset: the Lakers beat the Pistons, who were about 69% to win.
The lines here are the closing consensus: the median across the books once each book’s margin is removed. A favorite “covers” when it wins by more than the spread. Our simulated games come from real season shot profiles and the night’s injury report; checking them against the finals is how we keep them honest. Tonight’s games are on the board.
76ers 127, Bulls 121
The 76ers were favored by 9.5 with about a 78% win chance; they won by 6 and didn’t cover the 9.5-point spread.
The total closed at 238.25 and the game finished with 248: over by 9.75.
Our simulated games had the 76ers by 10 with 238 points, the right winner, and a total 10 points low.
Lakers 121, Pistons 116
The Pistons were favored by 7 with about a 69% win chance; they lost by 5 and lost outright as 7-point favorites.
The total closed at 217 and the game finished with 237: over by 20.
Our simulated games had the Pistons by 5 with 222 points, the wrong winner, and a total 15 points low.
Timberwolves 115, Jazz 100
The Timberwolves were favored by 12.5 with about an 84% win chance; they won by 15 and covered the 12.5-point spread.
The total closed at 222.5 and the game finished with 215: under by 7.5.
Our simulated games had the Timberwolves by 12 with 222 points, the right winner, and a total 7 points high.
Mavericks 130, Nets 93
The Mavericks were favored by 7.5 with about a 72% win chance; they won by 37 and covered the 7.5-point spread.
The total closed at 223.5 and the game finished with 223: under by 0.5.
Our simulated games had the Mavericks by 7 with 223 points, the right winner, and a total 0 points low.
Celtics 117, Bucks 97
The Celtics were favored by 13.5 with about an 85% win chance; they won by 20 and covered the 13.5-point spread.
The total closed at 221.5 and the game finished with 214: under by 7.5.
Our simulated games had the Celtics by 14 with 221 points, the right winner, and a total 7 points high.
Clippers 139, Pelicans 123
The Pelicans were favored by 1.5 with about a 53% win chance; they lost by 16 and lost outright as 1.5-point favorites.
The total closed at 226.5 and the game finished with 262: over by 35.5.
Our simulated games had the Pelicans by 2 with 229 points, the wrong winner, and a total 33 points low.
Heat 114, Kings 108
The Heat were favored by 11.5 with about an 82% win chance; they won by 6 and didn’t cover the 11.5-point spread.
The total closed at 236 and the game finished with 222: under by 14.
Our simulated games had the Heat by 9 with 238 points, the right winner, and a total 16 points high.
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