NBA recap: Tuesday, November 10
LineSpy · November 10, 2026 finals
6 games on Tuesday, November 10, 2026. Favorites won 5 of 6 and covered 4. Totals went over 3 times and under 3. The closing totals missed by 11.2 points on average. Our simulations picked 5 of 6 winners and missed the final total by 11.5 points on average. The biggest upset: the Trail Blazers beat the Thunder, who were about 54% to win.
The lines here are the closing consensus: the median across the books once each book’s margin is removed. A favorite “covers” when it wins by more than the spread. Our simulated games come from real season shot profiles and the night’s injury report; checking them against the finals is how we keep them honest. Tonight’s games are on the board.
Knicks 117, Bucks 85
The Knicks were favored by 15.5 with about an 88% win chance; they won by 32 and covered the 15.5-point spread.
The total closed at 222 and the game finished with 202: under by 20.
Our simulated games had the Knicks by 16 with 223 points, the right winner, and a total 21 points high.
Celtics 123, 76ers 101
The Celtics were favored by 1.5 with about a 52% win chance; they won by 22 and covered the 1.5-point spread.
The total closed at 217.5 and the game finished with 224: over by 6.5.
Our simulated games had the Celtics by 1 with 216 points, the right winner, and a total 8 points low.
Heat 115, Jazz 109
The Heat were favored by 8.5 with about a 75% win chance; they won by 6 and didn’t cover the 8.5-point spread.
The total closed at 228.5 and the game finished with 224: under by 4.5.
Our simulated games had the Heat by 9 with 229 points, the right winner, and a total 5 points high.
Suns 133, Clippers 110
The Suns were favored by 3.5 with about a 60% win chance; they won by 23 and covered the 3.5-point spread.
The total closed at 224.5 and the game finished with 243: over by 18.5.
Our simulated games had the Suns by 3 with 224 points, the right winner, and a total 19 points low.
Magic 107, Kings 100
The Magic were favored by 6 with about a 67% win chance; they won by 7 and covered the 6-point spread.
The total closed at 223.25 and the game finished with 207: under by 16.25.
Our simulated games had the Magic by 5 with 223 points, the right winner, and a total 16 points high.
Trail Blazers 123, Thunder 103
The Thunder were favored by 2 with about a 54% win chance; they lost by 20 and lost outright as 2-point favorites.
The total closed at 224.5 and the game finished with 226: over by 1.5.
Our simulated games had the Thunder by 1 with 226 points, the wrong winner, and a total 0 points low.
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