NBA recap: Wednesday, November 11
LineSpy · November 11, 2026 finals
10 games on Wednesday, November 11, 2026. Favorites won 8 of 10 and covered 6. Totals went over 8 times and under 2. The closing totals missed by 11.1 points on average. Our simulations picked 8 of 10 winners and missed the final total by 11.8 points on average. The biggest upset: the Cavaliers beat the Knicks, who were about 65% to win.
The lines here are the closing consensus: the median across the books once each book’s margin is removed. A favorite “covers” when it wins by more than the spread. Our simulated games come from real season shot profiles and the night’s injury report; checking them against the finals is how we keep them honest. Tonight’s games are on the board.
Pacers 114, Wizards 101
The Pacers were favored by 3.5 with about a 58% win chance; they won by 13 and covered the 3.5-point spread.
The total closed at 227.5 and the game finished with 215: under by 12.5.
Our simulated games had the Pacers by 5 with 228 points, the right winner, and a total 13 points high.
Cavaliers 115, Knicks 107
The Knicks were favored by 5 with about a 65% win chance; they lost by 8 and lost outright as 5-point favorites.
The total closed at 221 and the game finished with 222: over by 1.
Our simulated games had the Knicks by 6 with 219 points, the wrong winner, and a total 3 points low.
Celtics 98, Raptors 93
The Celtics were favored by 4.5 with about a 64% win chance; they won by 5 and covered the 4.5-point spread.
The total closed at 215.5 and the game finished with 191: under by 24.5.
Our simulated games had the Celtics by 4 with 218 points, the right winner, and a total 27 points high.
Nets 145, Pelicans 111
The Pelicans were favored by 2.5 with about a 57% win chance; they lost by 34 and lost outright as 2.5-point favorites.
The total closed at 228 and the game finished with 256: over by 28.
Our simulated games had the Pelicans by 5 with 226 points, the wrong winner, and a total 30 points low.
Spurs 124, Bulls 119
The Spurs were favored by 15.5 with about an 89% win chance; they won by 5 and didn’t cover the 15.5-point spread.
The total closed at 236.5 and the game finished with 243: over by 6.5.
Our simulated games had the Spurs by 17 with 237 points, the right winner, and a total 6 points low.
Nuggets 123, Grizzlies 118
The Nuggets were favored by 3.5 with about a 60% win chance; they won by 5 and covered the 3.5-point spread.
The total closed at 230.5 and the game finished with 241: over by 10.5.
Our simulated games had the Nuggets by 4 with 229 points, the right winner, and a total 12 points low.
Lakers 123, Bucks 112
The Lakers were favored by 14.5 with about an 87% win chance; they won by 11 and didn’t cover the 14.5-point spread.
The total closed at 228.5 and the game finished with 235: over by 6.5.
Our simulated games had the Lakers by 14 with 230 points, the right winner, and a total 5 points low.
Magic 123, Jazz 108
The Magic were favored by 4.5 with about a 62% win chance; they won by 15 and covered the 4.5-point spread.
The total closed at 214.5 and the game finished with 231: over by 16.5.
Our simulated games had the Magic by 5 with 213 points, the right winner, and a total 18 points low.
Rockets 115, Warriors 108
The Rockets were favored by 6.5 with about a 68% win chance; they won by 7 and covered the 6.5-point spread.
The total closed at 219.5 and the game finished with 223: over by 3.5.
Our simulated games had the Rockets by 8 with 221 points, the right winner, and a total 2 points low.
Trail Blazers 118, Thunder 108
The Trail Blazers were favored by 2.5 with about a 57% win chance; they won by 10 and covered the 2.5-point spread.
The total closed at 224.5 and the game finished with 226: over by 1.5.
Our simulated games had the Trail Blazers by 3 with 224 points, the right winner, and a total 2 points low.
For information and entertainment only. Not betting advice. 21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.