NBA recap: Thursday, November 12

LineSpy · November 12, 2026 finals

4 games on Thursday, November 12, 2026. Favorites won 4 of 4 and covered 2. Totals went over 3 times and under 1. The closing totals missed by 23.0 points on average. Our simulations picked 4 of 4 winners and missed the final total by 24.0 points on average.

The lines here are the closing consensus: the median across the books once each book’s margin is removed. A favorite “covers” when it wins by more than the spread. Our simulated games come from real season shot profiles and the night’s injury report; checking them against the finals is how we keep them honest. Tonight’s games are on the board.

Pistons 144, Wizards 140

The Pistons were favored by 10.5 with about a 78% win chance; they won by 4 and didn’t cover the 10.5-point spread.

The total closed at 221.5 and the game finished with 284: over by 62.5.

Our simulated games had the Pistons by 11 with 218 points, the right winner, and a total 66 points low.

76ers 123, Raptors 112

The 76ers were favored by 7.5 with about a 70% win chance; they won by 11 and covered the 7.5-point spread.

The total closed at 224 and the game finished with 235: over by 11.

Our simulated games had the 76ers by 10 with 226 points, the right winner, and a total 9 points low.

Timberwolves 133, Mavericks 94

The Timberwolves were favored by 6 with about a 66% win chance; they won by 39 and covered the 6-point spread.

The total closed at 226 and the game finished with 227: over by 1.

Our simulated games had the Timberwolves by 6 with 226 points, the right winner, and a total 1 points low.

Suns 101, Hornets 96

The Suns were favored by 6.5 with about a 67% win chance; they won by 5 and didn’t cover the 6.5-point spread.

The total closed at 214.5 and the game finished with 197: under by 17.5.

Our simulated games had the Suns by 7 with 217 points, the right winner, and a total 20 points high.

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